下周即将公布的经济数据时间表

FCH

Date	Time(ET)	Statistic	For	Actual	Briefing Forecast	Market Expects	Prior
Aug 30	8:30 AM	Personal Income	Jul	-	NA	0.3%	0.0%
Aug 30	8:30 AM	Personal Spending	Jul	-	NA	0.3%	0.1%
Aug 30	8:30 AM	PCE Prices - Core	Jul	-	NA	0.1%	0.0%
Aug 31	9:00 AM	Case-Shiller 20-city Index	Jun	-	NA	NA	4.61%
Aug 31	9:45 AM	Chicago PMI	Aug	-	NA	57.5	62.3
Aug 31	10:00 AM	Consumer Confidence	Aug	-	NA	51.3	50.40
Sep 1	8:15 AM	ADP Employment Change	Aug	-	NA	-15K	42K
Sep 1	10:00 AM	Construction Spending	Jul	-	NA	-0.4%	0.1%
Sep 1	10:00 AM	ISM Index	Aug	-	NA	53.3	55.5
Sep 1	10:30 AM	Crude Inventories	08/28	-	NA	NA	4.11M
Sep 1	2:00 PM	Auto Sales	Aug	-	NA	NA	3.8M
Sep 1	2:00 PM	Truck Sales	Aug	-	NA	NA	5.14M
Sep 2	8:30 AM	Initial Claims	08/28	-	NA	NA	473K
Sep 2	8:30 AM	Continuing Claims	08/21	-	NA	NA	4456K
Sep 2	8:30 AM	Productivity-Rev.	Q2	-	NA	-1.5%	-0.9%
Sep 2	8:30 AM	Unit Labor Costs	Q2	-	NA	1.0%	0.2%
Sep 2	10:00 AM	Factory Orders	Jul	-	NA	0.5%	-1.2%
Sep 2	10:00 AM	Pending Home Sales	Jul	-	NA	NA	-2.6%
Sep 3	8:30 AM	Nonfarm Payrolls	Aug	-	NA	-120K	-131K
Sep 3	8:30 AM	Nonfarm Payrolls - Private	Aug	-	NA	44K	71K
Sep 3	8:30 AM	Unemployment Rate	Aug	-	NA	9.6%	9.5%
Sep 3	8:30 AM	Hourly Earnings	Aug	-	NA	0.1%	0.2%
Sep 3	8:30 AM	Average Workweek	Aug	-	NA	34.2	34.2
Sep 3	10:00 AM	ISM Services	Aug	-	NA	53.0	54.3

apple3800

大家说说对经济基本面的看法吧，世界经济会继续衰退？

FCH

衰退的定义多数是指gdp连续2季-4季下降，要是这么看的话，出现衰退也不是不可能，但要像08年那样插水式下滑，也需要很大的助力。我觉得经济出现反复，上下波动一段时间的可能性比较大。